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Monday, February 11, 2013

Five Tiger Asia Economic Peek 3 Years Ahead


Tuesday, 12 February 2013




Indonesia was one of the analysis. How did it go?

Traders on the stock exchange Seoul, South Korea

International financial institutions, Citigroup, re-issued research predicted the world economy in the next three years. In his research, Citi estimates that the global economy will struggle to generate positive economic growth.

The two countries with the largest economies of scale such as China and Japan predicted would face less favorable conditions for up to three years.

"Outlook of the world economy in a state of balance between the vulnerability of the economy, the U.S. recovery still far off, and the effects of the European recession with a new wave of central bank stimulus in many countries in the world," said Citigroup Chief Economist Willem Buiter, as quoted by page businessinsider on Wednesday, 25 September 2012.

Buiter said Citi predicted world economic growth this year will end off 2.5 percent. Meanwhile, in the next year, the world economy will be slightly increased to 2.6 percent.

These Asian economies according to research from Citigroup.


   Japan



State sunrise this should work hard in a slowing pace of export. Growth in gross domestic product is projected to

2012: 2.1%
2013: 1.3%
2014: 0.2%
2015: 1.5%

Citi analyst Kiichi Murashima, expect the pace of Japan's exports will increase in 2013 as the start pulihanya the United States and China as well as the stability of the European economy.


   China



The country is expected to experience slower growth during the next 3 years. Here projections about the growth of China's GDP Citi:

2012: 7.9%
2013: 7.6%
2014: 7.3%
2015: 7.0%

Shen Minggao of Citi estimates that economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2012. Unfortunately, the rate of return economy slowed in 2013 due to fears of inflation that sank the Chinese stimulus efforts.


   India



Although still experiencing slowing growth, India's economy is driven by increasingly promising reform efforts began to show results

Citi projected India's GDP growth in the next 3 years as follows

2012: 5.4%
2013: 6.2%
2014: 6.9%
2015: 7.3%

Citi analyst expects Rohini Malkani long-term reforms that made ​​India will be achieved, including a new policy related to fuel-related efforts as well as changes in foreign investment restrictions


   South Korea



Citi Ginseng projecting the state's economy will be hit by a slowdown in domestic consumption accompanied by the weakening pace of exports to China.

Citi projected India's GDP growth in the next 3 years as follows

2012: 2.8%
2013: 3.3%
2014: 3.7%
2015: 4.1%


   Indonesia



Luckily for Indonesia. Amid a slowdown in Asian economies, Indonesia actually experience the benefits of robust domestic consumption.

In the report, Citi estimates that Indonesia's economy during the next 3 years will continue to increase. Here is Indonesia's economic outlook by Citi version:

2012: 6.2%
2013: 6.1%
2014: 6.3%
2015: 6.5%


Source :  VIVA.co.id

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